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Poll: Tight Race for Hutchison’s US Senate Seat

Update: Because the Azimuth poll targeted registered Republicans and “highly aware” GOP voters, questions have arisen over its scientific accuracy.” This kind of polling is generally considered less accurate and more partisan and may have skewed results.

Earlier: A new public opinion surveysuggests Texas Lieutenant-Governor David Dewhurst and former Texas Solicitor General Ted Cruz are in a statistical dead heat in the race for the United States Senate seat being vacated next year by U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison.

The poll by Azimuth Research Group shows Cruz with 32 percent support and Dewhurst with 31 percent, a difference that falls within the 3 percent margin of error.

Former Dallas Mayor Tom Leppert registered 8 percent support in the poll. Driftwood Tea Party candidate Lela Pittenger scored 5 percent, just one point ahead of railroad commissioner Elizabeth Ames Jones at 4 percent.  

Funeral home operator and Magnolia school board member Glenn Addison received 3 percent support. Retired Air Force veteranAndrewCastanuela got 1 percent. Curtis Cleaver, a candidate who apparently doesn’t even have a website, received no support.

While both Dewhurst and Cruz reported raising $2.5 million each, according to the Dallas Morning News, Leppert has reported having more than $4 million in the bank.

Meanwhile, U.S. Rep Michael McCaul (R-Austin) – a four-term congressman worth almost $300 million – is still considering whether to enter the race, the Houston Chronicle reports

The Azimuth poll questioned 844 Republican voters in Texas between October 12 and 17. Azimuth saysits "polls are conducted as much as possible in accordance with the standards and practices of the American Association for Public Opinion Researchers."


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Nathan Bernier is the transportation reporter at KUT. He covers the big projects that are reshaping how we get around Austin, like the I-35 overhaul, the airport's rapid growth and the multibillion-dollar transit expansion Project Connect. He also focuses on the daily changes that affect how we walk, bike and drive around the city. Got a tip? Email him at Follow him on X @KUTnathan.